Scenarios Overview

Each of the insight2050 scenarios represents a different way of accommodating projected housing and job growth in Central Ohio to the year 2050. Each includes the same total number of people, homes, and jobs, but varies in where and how they are located across the region.

The scenarios also vary in terms of the types of homes that will be built in the coming decades, and the extent to which their mix of housing types meet the demands of Central Ohio’s current and future residents.

Scenario A | Past Trends

This scenario extends the land use and transportation investment decisions of the past decades forward to 2050. A majority of growth is accommodated on previously undeveloped land, with most growth (85%) tending towards suburban and rural, auto-oriented development. New development is composed primarily of larger-lot single family homes and suburban office parks and commercial centers.

Scenario B | Planned Future

The housing and job distribution of this scenario reflects the direction of local plans and policies from the cities and townships across the Central Ohio region. There is more Compact growth than in the Past Trends scenario, and more smaller-lot single family and attached homes, though the majority of growth is still auto-oriented and tends to be located at the periphery of cities and towns. About half of new growth is accommodated as infill or redevelopment; the rest occurs on previously undeveloped land.

Scenario C | Focused Growth

This scenario seeks to accommodate more growth in infill and redevelopment locations in and around existing cities and towns. Land patterns and housing mix are informed by housing demand forecasts, with significantly more smaller-lot single family, attached single family, and multifamily homes than the Planned
Future or Past Trends scenarios. A large majority (84%) of growth takes the form of Compact development in walkable, moderate intensity mixed-use areas. There is also significant Urban development (10% of new growth) in Downtown Columbus. There is very little Standard growth or new larger-lot single family housing
development in this scenario, as the majority of demand for this product is met through the existing supply.

Scenario D | Maximum Infill

This scenario strives to maximize growth accommodated through infill on previously developed lands and within existing urban areas. The Urban place type assumes nearly 30% of growth in existing city centers and commercial corridors where significant redevelopment opportunities exist. An additional 70% takes the
form of moderate intensity and walkable Compact development. Like the Focused Future scenario, the residential mix is informed by housing demand forecasts, with significantly higher proportions of multifamily, attached single family/townhomes, and smaller-lot single family homes. There is very little new larger-lot single family housing development in this scenario, as the majority of demand for this product is met through the existing supply.